event and impossible events

If the the thing success rate is 1 ***, repeated 100 times at least successful times the probability of how many? Alternative answer: 10 *** 23 *** 38 *** 63 *** 63 *** correct answer. The calculation method: 1 *** success rate, failure rate of 99 ***, try 100 times, the probability of total failure 100th 99 *** 37 *** successfully at least once that 63 ***. The seemingly impossible repeated attempts success rate will continue to improve the sucker Like adhere the always saw Niubi results. Colleagues in the RTX group sharing a first glance, I feel no problem. Solely from the perspective of mathematical probability to calculate the answer to the above question is absolutely correct. But taking into account the actual operation, there are some confounding factors may affect every attempt success rate, we can depth discussion. 1, if this thing exists completely unavailable manipulation of factors, namely: the thing tried one or more times, even if all else fails, the acquired experience does not make you the next attempt to reduce the possibility of failure. The above-mentioned problems in the thinking and the answer is correct. But the expression of the conclusions is there are some problems: because the event itself is a single success rate is no increase, or a ***. So UGG Gissella, first phrase of this conclusion is not desirable. If someone can put all the error after you try it again, for the parties, the next attempt natural success. So the last part of it touches desirable: sucker adhere to the same, always saw Niubi. This article is from the past touching story 2 Now consider the second hypothesis, if this thing is a fixed transaction, there is no random change factors. Can be seen as doing a 100 option multiple-choice questions, once a failure, the next is still the probability of failure will be reduced some. Every failure to do the record, then the worst-case scenario, the first 99 times each time the wrong, then the last must be correct. In fact, the process, every next after the failure to select the correct rate also increased from the first start: 1/100, 1/99, 1/98, so went back and forth repeated 100 times, at least successfully time the probability is 100 ***. The worst case scenario is 100 times successfully. In this case, the probability of n times still fails: (99/100) (98/99) * This can be seen from the past touching story = (100-n), as n increases, that is, attempts an increase in the probability of failure is getting smaller and smaller. Until the first hundred times the probability of failure is reduced to 0. This case, can get the above conclusion: the seemingly impossible in repeated attempts, the success rate will will will will will?%??? A?%?? The B0 Kal bequeath?? BF???? ?????? couch for two 烁 cutting??? pretty?? 엌??? BF??? the Yi 䶞??? the% E affection? 4????? the Mo%??? Ze?% B?? BC rabid dog can be partners??? umbrella???????? 앶? East?? 엏? Jiang rabid dog????????%? A%? 9A%? D?? 쥈?伝??? 伝 䶜???? 7??????????????;?????? soy in the salamander the posthumous would Ma slouch umbrella??? Yi not 伝??? Zhi one 䶗 Philip????? 앸? the remittent industry UGG Sundance II????? tsunami???? Ma Chu'll?????? brother??? to forbearance Ma cat?????? process failed The information obtained is different, most people, every attempt did not succeed, can also be informed of the success factors barriers next attempt to avoid falls in the same place, even if it is for a place fall. This article from the past and moving story probability can not use specific numbers to measure But obviously, each of us around, we can see, almost everyone will have one or two more areas of expertise, and some people are good at solving puzzles always easy to succeed. Problems often encountered because our lives are not completely random. A lot of things, such as shooting rate, such as limited answer questions through constant practice, a better grasp of the intensity, direction, curvature and other techniques, the constant practice, constantly trying to process undoubtedly is to improve the success rate of a single attempt . Similarly, a person with some experience in a field for a field will be more likely to succeed. Because most of the problems have the same part, mastered the ability to learn and the ability to solve problems, even in different areas of the same. This article from the same time UGG Sunburst Tall Outlet, even if it is the same thing, the performance of different people is not the same as the past and moving story. Hit in the process of failure, some self-confidence, choose to give up, the next time if you have to do this thing, but with the shadow, can not overcome their own obstacles, but will lower the success rate. Another part of the people, the resilience and good at summing up the lessons of failure to analyze the association between things, the success rate of these things undoubtedly will become increasingly high. This article from the past touching story might seem impossible to repeated attempts success rate will continue to improve the sucker, like adhere always see Niubi results. This situation is very easy to come to this conclusion. This article from the past and moving story but the above three cases is not enough to prove that sucker the same insistence, always conclusion saw Niubi results, because there is a problem. This article from the past touching story repeatedly done prerequisite thing: the seemingly impossible event. Such events can be divided into two types: small probability event and impossible events. The above three cases are small probability events. For the latter impossible event, the result of repeated attempts are futile UGG Brookfield Tall. Although there are a sucker like adhere to UGG Lo Pro Denim Jacquard Boots, but some people last the Niubi some sucker. So, in this process, how to judge that one thing is the small probability events or impossible events, it is important. Einstein said: insanity is repeatedly doing one thing, but expecting different results. Why some people are crazy after success, some people really mad. And one reason is a matter of opinion. On the left bank in mind: For such a small probability of things, life circumstances limit. Most cases have a very clear goal or have some kind of belief in mind the case began to insist, those reason we insist these things worthy of us to insist we must touch the heart , insist that it is a heart of the experience, of course, we urgently need a result, need a reason to need some comfort. If you stick to it, there is always a result of you may feel, because we are all concerned about the real results, while ignoring our fight to make every effort to adhere to the process UGG Ultimate Short Boots, however, in the process, we really gain a lot, even stick to the end is a bad result or no result, but, you know, along the way, you is not nothing. If you admit that he lost, it is lost to time, or lost to the harsh reality, in fact, lost. This article from the past and moving story in this article from the touching story of the past (past and moving story)